China: The Junta’s Best Friend
As the Beijing Olympics approach, each and every citizen of conscience throughout the world has a decision to make: do we lend our support to China by watching the Olympics or do we turn off our televisions? We, and leaders of the democracy movement in Burma (Read the Call from the 88 Generation Students here), are asking you to turn it off.
CHINA’S SUPPORT BLOCKS INTERNATIONAL DIPLOMACY AND KEEPS BURMA’S REGIME IN POWER
Below is publicly available information regarding Sino-Burmese military, political, and economic relations. This by no means represents the entirety of China’s support of Burma’s military regime, much of which is not publicly available.
CHINA IS ONE OF THE LARGEST ARMS SUPPLIERS TO THAN SHWE’S BURMESE MILITARY REGIME.
Since 1989, the year after Burma’s military regime brutally suppressed a mass people’s uprising calling for democracy – China has provided Burma’s regime with over US$2 billion worth of weapons and military equipment , some sold at below market prices—arms shipments continue to this day.
• Tanks and armored personnel carriers
• Fighter jets
• Attack aircraft
• Coastal patrol ships
• Small arms and light weapons
• Logistical and transportation equipment
• China also has provided military advisors for training and engineers for building projects
With Chinese arms and military equipment, Burma’s regime has quadrupled the size of its forces to 450,000 men, including with approximately 70,000 child soldiers – more than any other country in the world. The regime has carried out a scorched earth campaign in Eastern Burma, destroying and forcing the abandonment of more than 3,000 villages over the past ten years. To put this in context a more well-known crisis, this is twice as many villages as have been destroyed in Darfur. More than 1.5 million refugees have fled to neighboring countries or are hiding in the jungle struggling to survive.
THE COST OF CHINA’S POLITICAL PROTECTION
BURMA’S MILITARY REGIME WILL FORGO $8.4 BILLION FROM NATURAL GAS EXPORTS TO KEEP CHINA’S INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL SUPPORT.
2007 – Than Shwe has agreed to sell Burma’s new found gas from the Shwe gas fields, about 180 billion cubic metres of gas across 20 years to China for the price of US$4.28 per million BTU. India offered the regime US$4.76 per million BTU but Than Shwe rejected India’s offer in favor of China’s costing Burma US$2.35 billion in revenue.
It gets worse – the current market rate for natural gas is around US$7.30 per million BTU and for a long-term contract, such as this one, experts estimate the regime could have negotiated for US$6 per million BTU. Which in real terms means Burma is losing out on US$8.4 billion in potential natural gas revenues.
August 2007 – While Burma’s military regime sells Burma’s natural gas to China at deeply discounted rates, it suddenly and drastically quintupled the price of compressed natural gas, and doubled the price of oil and diesel in Burma, sending the people of Burma, more than half of whom live on less than a US$1 a day, spiraling further into abject poverty.
China is the only country with the ability to shield Burma’s military junta from international intervention.
UNDERMINING MULTILATERAL UNITED NATIONS AND REGIONAL EFFORTS: CHINA HAS CONSISTENTLY TAKEN A UNILATERAL APPROACH
September 2006 – China voted No to placing Burma’s crisis on the UN Security Council’s Agenda, but lost in a vote of 10-4-1.
January 2007 – China vetoed a peaceful UN Security Council resolution – that had garnered enough votes to pass – that would have strengthened the Secretary General’s mandate to resolving the crisis in Burma.
CHINA’S PRISONER: DAW AUNG SAN SUU KYI, THE WORLD’S ONLY IMPRISONED NOBEL PEACE PRIZE RECIPIENT
China is one of the only countries in the world to refuse to back the UN Secretary General’s call for the release of Aung San Suu Kyi and all political prisoners.
• Three diplomatic missions to Burma to secure the release of Aung San Suu Kyi by leading Southeast Asian senior statesmen Indonesian Ali Alatas, Malaysian Foreign Minister Syed Hamid, and Filippino Foreign Minister Alberto Romulo all failed, and China did not endorse these efforts.
• The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), the European Union (EU), the United States, Japan, Australia, 14 United Nations Special Rapportuers, One Dozen Nobel Peace Prize recipients, and 59 former Presidents and Prime Ministers from around the world have called for the release of Aung San Suu Kyi.
• The United Nations General Assembly calls for the release of Aung San Suu Kyi, and the UN Working Group on Arbitrary Detention found that Aung San Suu Kyi’s imprisonment violates international law.
• China has refused to support all of these countries, leaders, and UN mechanisms by not calling for the release of Aung San Suu Kyi. Instead, China’s Foreign Minister says “The Aung San Suu Kyi matter is Myanmar’s internal affair.”
China’s refusal to stand with the rest of the world and call for the end of Aung San Suu Kyi’s unlawful detention not only ensured Than Shwe’s had political cover for extending her house arrest, it completely contradicted China’s own statement in which it would support ASEAN’s position on Burma. “China will, as always, support Asean to play a leading role in addressing the issue of Myanmar,” Ambassador Wang Guangya said. Apparently not.
ECONOMIC
The only way to do business in Burma is to do business with the military junta. The Heritage Foundation in their 2007 Index of Economic Freedom ranked Burma as the fifth most repressed economy in the world (153 out of 157) behind only North Korea, Libya, Cuba and Zimbabwe.
INVESTMENT: CHINA IS ONE OF THE BIGGEST INVESTORS IN BURMA.
2006-2007 (April-February), China’s foreign direct investment exceeded $281 million.
Chinese companies, including whole state-owned enterprises have more than 800 projects in Burma with a contractual value exceeding US$ 2.1 billion.
TRADE: CHINA PROVIDES US$ BILLIONS IN TRADE TO BURMA’S MILITARY JUNTA.
• China’s trade with Burma doubled from 1999 to 2005 to US$1.2 billion
• China is Burma’s largest source of imports accounting for more than 31% in 2006
• Current figures estimate that China’s trade revenue with Burma is now $1.28 billion
Burma has a closed and tightly controlled economy in which only the top military leaders in the ruling State Peace and Development Council (SPDC) and their cronies profit from trade and investment.
LOANS: CHINA GIVES THAN SHWE’S REGIME US$ HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS IN LOANS AND GRANTS.
January 2003 – China provided Burma with US$200 million in economic assistance.
June 2006 – China signed an agreement to loan Burma’s generals $200 in buyers’ credit.
NATURAL RESOURCES: CHINA IS STRIPPING BURMA OF ITS NATURAL RESOURCES WITH RAMPANT FORCED LABOR, FORCED DISPLACEMENT, AND SEVERE HUMAN RIGHTS ABUSES.
BURMA’S MILITARY JUNTA TO MAKE BILLIONS OFF OF CHINA’S INVESTMENTS IN EXTRACTING BURMA’S NATURAL RESOURCES.
China is involved in more than 62 hydro, oil & gas, and mining projects in Burma. These projects take place without consultation of local communities, without regard for environmental concerns and results in destruction of land and loss of livelihood. These projects are accompanied by increased militarization creating large scale forced labor, forced relocation and human rights abuses.
Oil & Natural Gas
In March 2007 – China’s PetroChina signed an MOU with SPDC for the sale of 6.5 trillion cubic feet of gas over the next 30 years to be transported through a new pipeline that will be built across Burma to deliver the gas to China’s Yunnan province for an annual transit fee of $150 million for the next 30 years, earning the regime US$4.5 billion.
In April 2006 – China’s National Development and Reform Commission approved an oil pipeline project from Burma’s Akyab in Arakan State across Northern Burma to Kunming in the Chinese province of Yunnan, traversing 1,434 miles across Burma.
The construction of the Yadana pipeline in Burma over the previous decade resulted in increased militarization, enormous environment destruction, widespread human rights abuses, forced labor, forced relocation, and loss of livelihood. There is no indication Burma’s junta would not commit the same atrocities in the construction of additional pipelines across Burma to China.
Hydropower
China is involved in approximately 40 hydropower projects in Burma.
As of March 2006 – Of the 11 major on-going hydro-power projects in Burma. All contracts have been awarded to Chinese companies.
In June 2006 – China’s state-owned Sinohydro Corporation and the Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT) agreed to build a US$1 billion hydropower station on the Salween River in Burma , this is the first of 5 dams in this partnership, that would destroy the homes of hundreds of thousands of ethnic minorities.
Mining
China has been involved in at least 5 major mining projects in Burma. The largest, the Tagaung Taung nickel deposit represents an investment of US$600 million.
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The desire for freedom cannot be suppressed. Photo: AFP
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THOUSANDS of people joined mass protests outside Burmese embassies throughout the world yesterday to commemorate the tragic events in Rangoon twenty years ago. Many international personalities, including actress Mia Farrow, joined them, all calling for the immediate release of the detained opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi and a swift move towards democracy. Before leaving for Beijing to attend last night’s opening ceremony for the Olympics, President Bush and his wife Laura added their support to the cause during their visit to Thailand.
“The spirit of 8.8.88 must never be allowed to die,” said a leading spokesperson for the exiled opposition, Zin Linn, who participated in the mass pro-democracy demonstrations twenty years ago. Although there had been sporadic street protests and demonstrations for almost a year, the mass strike and rally called on August 8, 1988 marked a major turning point for the pro-democracy movement. The date was chosen because it was meant to be auspicious — a reflection of the deep-rooted superstition that grips almost all Burmese.
Hundreds of thousands of students, civil servants and monks marched through Rangoon — then the capital — calling for democracy and an end to military rule. These protests grew, bringing Burma to a standstill for weeks and threatening to topple the country’s one-party state. The universities had been shut several months earlier, after the initial student protests, and student leaders emerged to command the movement.
“We felt that there was no justice or freedom. So we decided we had to bring about an uprising that would end single-party rule,” said one of these leaders, Aung Din — now exiled in the US.
“We called for ‘Democracy,’ but none of us knew what it meant at the time,” said another student activist, Aung Naing Oo — now exiled in Thailand. “We had to look it up in the dictionary — but we knew we wanted freedom and an end to military repression.”
Six weeks after the start of the mass protests, on September 18, 1988, the army moved against the protesters, crushing the democratic movement. Thousands of students and activists died, as the military mercilessly crushed the protests. The foreign minister at the time, Ohn Gyaw, in an interview in Rangoon a few years after the events, insisted that only four people died, and that they were killed in the stampede, and not by soldiers’ guns.
Most analysts suggest that some 3,000 people died in the military’s mopping up operations, while many military officials openly admit — albeit privately — that at least 6,000 perished. In fact, a military intelligence officer close to the former intelligence chief, now under house arrest, told The Daily Star recently that General Kin Nyunt’s own assessment was that more than 10,000 people were killed. “Many bodies were quietly cremated so that there was no evidence of the massacre,” he said.
Since then, there seems to have been very little movement towards genuine political change. Many Burmese believed that, with twenty years of no progress, Burma is destined to remain under a military dictatorship for decades to come. “What is certain is that change will only come from within the country,” said Aung Zaw, editor of the independent Burmese news website and magazine, Irrawaddy. “But more than that, I cannot predict.”
Hopes of a new era were again raised last year, when the country’s monks joined the street protests against the military regime, spawning a new movement dubbed the “Saffron Revolution.” Again, the military’s only course of action was to crush the movement with brutal force. The country’s activists were jailed or forced underground.
But last year’s events showed that things have changed in Burma over the last twenty years, even if much of it is intangible. For years, many local Burmese businessmen have described Burma as a social volcano ready to erupt — all it needs is a spark, and that could come any time.
No one wants a repeat of the massive social upheaval that happened in the wake of the events of August twenty years ago. What most people don’t understand is that the “people’s movement” twenty years’ ago came very close to toppling the military government.
“We were on the brink of giving into the protesters,” the senior intelligence officer, Brigadier General Thein Swe — now serving 197 years in prison for corruption and treason — told a close confidante. “If the demonstrations had gone on for another two weeks, we would have been forced to give up and withdraw back to the barracks,” he mused.
But the protesters gave up first — leaving thousands dead — and even more were forced to flee abroad. More than a quarter of a million Burmese have sought political refuge since the end of the student-led protests 20 years ago. The first batch took months to trudge through the jungles in Burma’s border areas close to China, India and Thailand. They had to elude Burmese troops who would have killed them on sight, and suffered illness and disease on the way — many were decimated by diarrhea, malaria, dengue fever and starvation.
Thousands have poignant personal stories of tragedy. Many left behind their parents and siblings; others left their own young offspring behind in the care of their grandparents, as they would not have survived the arduous journey to freedom. These young children have grown into adults without having known or seen their parents.
Although the “Saffron Revolution” cannot be compared too closely to the events twenty years ago, it did politicise a new generation of students — all of whom are too young to remember 1988. They are likely to return to the streets as the root causes of last year’s protests — spiralling food and fuel prices have now been resolved. But one lesson of the last twenty years is that protests do not always produce political change.
“You can expect spontaneous demonstrations against the military — but the problem is that you have to be organised,” said Min Zin, a leading political activist who fled Burma more than a decade ago and is currently studying in the US. “My concern is whether it can lead to a genuine political change.”
The junta now has forced the country to ratify a new constitution, which essentially institutionalises military rule, and promised a fresh election within the next two years. Burma’s military rulers face a quandary, for they now have to garner the public’s support as they seek to move from military to civilian government as outlined in the new constitution.
So the next two years will be uncertain as the regime prepares for these polls.
“It is in times of uncertainty that protest and change seem to happen in Burma,” the independent Burmese academic at Chiang Mai University, Win Min, told The Daily Star. “The next two years are likely to be volatile — with more protests, led by the monks and the students, are almost certain.”


We wanted to let you know some good news. President Bush and First Lady Laura Bush just visited Burmese human rights activists in Thailand, 24 hours before they head to Beijing Olympics. The First Lady also